The ANZ-Roy Morgan consumer confidence index dropped to 86.9, influenced by ex-Tropical Cyclone Alfred

    by VT Markets
    /
    Mar 11, 2025

    Australian weekly consumer confidence has decreased, with the ANZ-Roy Morgan Consumer Confidence index falling to 86.9, down from the previous week’s 87.7. The index value below 100 indicates that pessimists outnumber optimists.

    Despite the decline, the current figure is still 1.8 points higher than before the Reserve Bank of Australia reduced the cash rate. The drop in confidence may be partially influenced by the effects of ex-Tropical Cyclone Alfred.

    Consumer Sentiment Trends

    Consumer sentiment has weakened, a development that cannot be ignored. A reading of 86.9, slipping from 87.7, signals that uncertainty is weighing on household outlooks. With a measure below the neutral 100 mark, it is clear that concerns exceed optimism across surveyed participants. While the latest figure remains slightly above pre-rate-cut levels, the downward move suggests external factors are influencing expectations.

    Weather-related disruptions may have played a role. Ex-Tropical Cyclone Alfred’s aftermath likely affected households, particularly those in regions where damage led to unexpected expenses or disrupted earnings. Temporary effects such as these can pressure sentiment measurements, but whether this downturn extends beyond the immediate impact is what matters going forward.

    Beyond natural events, shifts in broader financial conditions cannot be overlooked. If sentiment continues to soften, household spending could slow, feeding into a cycle that shapes demand expectations. With confidence easing, attention will probably turn to whether upcoming data signals a deeper shift or merely short-term hesitation.

    Future Market Impact

    We will be watching for any knock-on effects in related sentiment indicators. If pessimism grows, market behaviour may adjust to reflect lowered risk appetite. On the other hand, stabilisation or recovery in sentiment could reduce uncertainty about consumer adaptability. The coming weeks will reveal whether this dip remains an isolated event or marks the start of a deeper trend.

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