The month-on-month Consumer Price Index for the US, excluding food and energy, was 0.2%

    by VT Markets
    /
    Mar 12, 2025

    In February, the United States Consumer Price Index excluding food and energy recorded a 0.2% increase, falling short of the expected 0.3%. This data has implications for market trends.

    The EUR/USD pair remains stable around the 1.0900 level, responding to the lower-than-anticipated US inflation figures. Meanwhile, gold prices have risen to near $2,940 per troy ounce, aided by a lack of direction in the US dollar.

    Cryptocurrency Market Trends

    In the cryptocurrency market, Bitcoin, XRP, and Solana experienced declines amid a stock sell-off, reflecting a risk-averse sentiment.

    The inflation report from the United States points to softer price pressure than what had been forecasted. A 0.2% rise instead of the anticipated 0.3% may not seem dramatic, but these figures inform expectations around Federal Reserve policy. If price growth is cooling, it hints at a potential shift in interest rate outlooks, which, in turn, influences how traders position themselves.

    Within the foreign exchange space, the euro has held steady against the US dollar around 1.0900. The underwhelming inflation reading has not pushed the greenback in a clear direction, which has contributed to the stability of this currency pair. It is worth noting that this level has been tested multiple times in recent weeks, meaning traders are likely keeping a close watch for any impetus that could drive the pair either way. Stability in this space often does not last.

    The gold market is another area of interest. Prices for the metal have climbed, reaching close to $2,940 per troy ounce. A subdued dollar has provided support, as has an overall sense of uncertainty. When markets lack conviction, gold tends to find demand. If sentiment shifts elsewhere, it could lead to quick adjustments here too.

    Meanwhile, conditions in the cryptocurrency sector have taken a different turn. Bitcoin, along with other digital assets like XRP and Solana, has slipped as broader equities have come under pressure. This suggests risk appetite is dwindling. Equities and digital assets often respond to shifting expectations around monetary policy, liquidity conditions, and investor sentiment. If traders continue to reduce exposure to stocks, it could mean further recalibrations in the crypto market.

    Market Outlook And Key Factors

    In the weeks ahead, those trading derivatives will need to keep an eye on how these themes develop. Currency stability can change rapidly if fresh indications emerge about monetary policy or economic strength. Likewise, the gold market is sensitive to any sign of shifting investor preference. Should the mood in the stock market remain defensive, more movement in digital assets is likely.

    Data releases and central bank commentary will be pivotal in shaping price action. At this stage, what has been observed suggests traders must be ready to adjust positions if any unexpected developments arise.

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