The year-on-year industrial production in the UK fell to -1.5%, missing predictions of -0.7%

    by VT Markets
    /
    Mar 14, 2025

    In January, the UK’s industrial production year-on-year decreased by 1.5%, falling short of expectations of a 0.7% decline. Additionally, Gross Domestic Product contracted by 0.1%, and manufacturing production dropped by 1.1%, affecting the value of the Pound Sterling.

    The EUR/USD pair fell to around 1.0835 due to heightened tensions in the US-EU trade dispute. This decline showcases the Euro’s weakening against the US Dollar in light of ongoing trade conflicts.

    Gold Prices Near Record High

    Gold prices remain near a record high, approximately $3,000, driven by uncertainty related to trade policies and potential Federal Reserve rate cuts. Meanwhile, Cardano’s price stabilised above $0.70 despite a decline over recent days.

    The UK government faces urgent economic challenges with spending cuts and potential tax increases, necessitating higher growth. A shift in economic relations with the EU may help alleviate the financial pressures facing the UK.

    This economic contraction for the UK, reflected in the drop in industrial output and overall GDP, is certainly more stark than many had anticipated. When manufacturing also dips beyond forecasts, it tends to weigh heavily on the Pound, something we’ve already seen happening. A weaker currency may make UK exports more competitive abroad, but it does little to reassure investors already wary of the country’s economic trajectory.

    Meanwhile, tensions between Washington and Brussels continue to manifest in the currency markets, as highlighted by the EUR/USD exchange rate slumping to nearly 1.0835. Traders often pull back from the Euro in moments like this, especially when it becomes uncertain how these political frictions will play out. Trade policies influence capital flows, and right now, that influence is tilting against the shared currency.

    Gold is still hovering near record levels, an outcome that makes sense when seen through the lens of monetary policy speculation. There is a growing assumption the Federal Reserve could opt to reduce rates, which presses investors to seek assets that hold value against currency fluctuations. This is often what drives gold higher, as it remains an attractive store of wealth when traditional markets seem unpredictable.

    Cardano’s steadiness above $0.70 offers a contrast. Even though volatility has been present in recent sessions, maintaining this level suggests buyers are staying engaged. Traders watching digital assets will want to monitor whether this resilience persists or if broader market movements start to drag prices lower.

    Uk Fiscal Concerns Persist

    For the UK, fiscal concerns remain pressing. The government has few choices apart from reducing spending or increasing taxes, neither of which are particularly appealing for economic momentum. Adjustments in economic links with the European Union might offset some of these worries, though that would depend on both political willingness and the practicalities of renegotiating terms.

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