The UOB Group anticipates a limited increase for USD against CNH, unlikely to surpass 7.2650

    by VT Markets
    /
    Mar 14, 2025

    The US Dollar (USD) is projected to rise slightly against the Chinese Yuan (CNH), though any increase is unlikely to surpass 7.2650. Analysts observe that current price behaviour suggests movement within a 7.2100 to 7.2800 consolidation range.

    In the short term, USD traded between 7.2301 and 7.2533, showing some upward momentum. Expectations for today indicate a further increase but with support levels at 7.2400 and 7.2300.

    Slowdown In Downward Momentum

    After a period of negative outlook, USD’s downward momentum has slowed, reinforcing the view of lateral movements within the defined range.

    Broadly speaking, we see indications that the US Dollar may gain modestly against the Yuan, but traders should not expect it to push far beyond 7.2650. The numbers point to a pattern confined within 7.2100 and 7.2800, giving more weight to the idea that price movements are consolidating rather than breaking out in a clear direction.

    Over recent sessions, the Dollar has floated between 7.2301 and 7.2533, with the latest market conditions hinting at a slight preference for upward movement. That said, nearby support at 7.2400 and 7.2300 suggests any immediate dips could be cushioned. Unless more pronounced buying pressure comes in, we doubt that prices will move too aggressively beyond their expected range in the near term.

    Range Bound Trading Considerations

    Looking at market strength, the downward momentum that had been applying pressure appears to be fading. Earlier bearish expectations have softened, and the currency pair now seems more comfortable drifting sideways. This reinforces the idea that traders should keep an eye on range-bound strategies rather than betting heavily on directional trends.

    For those who trade derivatives, this context means carefully measuring risk for positions that hinge on breakouts, as the market currently lacks the force needed for a sharp move either way. If prices drift towards the lower end of the range, it is reasonable to expect some resistance to further weakness. Conversely, any lift towards the top end of the band would need strong drivers to break through convincingly.

    Short-term movements may lean slightly to the upside, but overall, patience is required in these conditions. Carefully monitoring support and resistance levels will help identify whether the market remains contained or if a fresh trend is actually forming.

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