According to Scotiabank’s Chief FX Strategist, CAD strengthens due to improved risk appetite influencing high beta currencies

    by VT Markets
    /
    Mar 15, 2025

    The Canadian Dollar (CAD) has shown slight strength, supported by better risk appetite in the market. It is trading below the estimated fair value of 1.41, suggesting limited potential for further declines.

    Spot losses indicate a possible short-term top, although the USD remains weak. Support for CAD is seen at the 1.4350 level.

    Gold Price Movements

    Gold has pulled back to $2,980 per troy ounce after peaking above $3,000. This drop is attributed to profit-taking and rising US bond yields.

    EUR/USD is stable near 1.0900, recovering from previous pullbacks, while GBP/USD remains around the low-1.2900s despite unfavourable UK data.

    The cryptocurrency market increased by 0.13%, with a total valuation boost of $352 million, as some tokens gained traction amid market volatility.

    What we have observed in the Canadian Dollar’s rise is a reflection of improved sentiment among investors who are more willing to take on risk. Yet, the fact that it remains below the estimated fair value of 1.41 suggests room may be limited for a sustained push downward. When spot declines indicate a possible peak, traders will need to reassess their positions, knowing that the broader trend in the USD remains on the weaker side. That 1.4350 level appears to be holding, setting a key reference point for the coming sessions.

    Gold’s pullback from its recent climb past $3,000 per troy ounce speaks to two factors—profit-taking by those who bought earlier and pressure from rising US bond yields. We are seeing this dynamic restrain further advances for now. The link between gold and yields is always one to watch, as higher yields typically reduce the metal’s appeal. However, the fact that the retreat is relatively modest could indicate buyers are still present, just at adjusted levels.

    Foreign Exchange Market Trends

    Meanwhile, EUR/USD holds steady around 1.0900, having managed to regain some losses from previous dips. The resilience here suggests support remains firm despite external pressures. The pound, on the other hand, stays in the low-1.2900s even as UK economic data continues to underwhelm. That stability, despite disappointing releases, hints at underlying demand preventing further slides—for now.

    On the digital assets front, the overall market valuation nudged higher by 0.13%, marking a $352 million lift. Some individual tokens have seen renewed interest, benefiting from recent shifts in sentiment. Given the known volatility in this space, traders should remain mindful of abrupt price changes, particularly in response to broader market developments.

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