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    EURUSD Declines Amidst USD Strength

    November 14, 2024

    Key Points:

    • EUR/USD has declined to around 1.0552, the lowest since November last year.
    • Market optimism about upcoming economic policies strengthens the US dollar, overshadowing anticipated Federal Reserve rate cuts.

    The EUR/USD currency pair has experienced a decline, reaching approximately 1.0552, a level not seen since November of the previous year.

    The recent price action shows lower highs and lower lows, indicating strong bearish sentiment.

    Picture: The EUR/USD pair shows a bearish trend, with prices moving downward and a recent resistance level around 1.0654, as seen on the VT Markets app.

    This movement is primarily attributed to the strengthening of the US dollar, driven by market optimism regarding anticipated economic policies from the incoming administration.

    Despite the Federal Reserve’s indications of a potential rate cut in December, the dollar’s strength persists, reflecting the market’s forward-looking nature and its focus on expected fiscal changes.

    USD Strength and Market Optimism

    Investors are expressing optimism about the economic policies proposed by the incoming administration, which include tax reforms, deregulation, and increased infrastructure spending.

    These anticipated measures are perceived as catalysts for economic growth, thereby enhancing the attractiveness of USD-denominated assets.

    See also: USDX Steady as Traders Await Inflation Data

    This optimism contributes to the strengthening of the US dollar, exerting downward pressure on the EUR/USD pair.

    Anticipated Federal Reserve Rate Cuts

    The Federal Reserve has signalled a potential rate cut in December, likely lowering the Federal Funds Rate to 4.75%.

    The market’s focus on anticipated fiscal policies appears to be overshadowing the potential impact of the rate cut, contributing to the dollar’s strength and the decline in the EUR/USD pair.

    Cautious Forecast

    While the current decline in the EUR/USD pair reflects market optimism about anticipated economic policies, it is prudent to consider potential volatility.

    The actual implementation of proposed policies, the Federal Reserve’s monetary policy decisions, and global economic conditions will play crucial roles in determining the trajectory of the EUR/USD pair.

    Investors should remain vigilant and consider hedging strategies to mitigate potential risks associated with currency fluctuations.

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