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    Meme stock AMC drops on disappointing Q2 guidance and industry challenges

    July 29, 2024

    Key points: 

    • AMC projects a net loss of $32.8 million for Q2 2024. 
    • Shares of AMC have fallen 90% over the past twelve months. 
    • CEO Adam Aron remains optimistic about the long-term prospects despite industry challenges. 
    • Other meme stocks like GameStop, Bed Bath & Beyond and Robinhood show varied market responses. 

    AMC stock (AMC) fell 7.7% after issuing disappointing guidance for the second quarter of 2024. The company anticipates a net loss of $32.8 million, translating to a loss of 10 cents per share. This forecast contrasts sharply with the same quarter last year when AMC reported earnings of $8.6 million, or 6 cents per share. 

    Optimism from the CEO, despite negative market response 

    The market responded negatively to AMC’s guidance, with shares dropping significantly. CEO Adam Aron attributed the weak outlook to the prolonged actors’ and writers’ strikes in 2023, which he said severely impacted the number of movies released in early 2024.

    Despite the current challenges, Aron expressed optimism about AMC’s long-term future, citing a significant increase in daily revenues in June 2024 compared to April and May of the same year. 

    The broader meme stock landscape 

    AMC is not the only meme stock experiencing turbulence. GameStop, another popular meme stock, has faced its own set of challenges. After a dramatic rise in early 2021, driven by retail enthusiasm, the stock price of GameStop has seen significant volatility. Recently, GameStop reported a decline in revenue and continued operational challenges, causing further fluctuations in its stock price. 

    Bed Bath & Beyond, another stock popular among retail investors, has also experienced a roller-coaster ride. Despite some strategic shifts and attempts to stabilise the business, the company has struggled with declining sales and profitability issues, leading to a substantial drop in its stock value. 

    Robinhood (Symbol: HOOD), the trading platform that became synonymous with the meme stock craze, has also faced a tumultuous journey. Initially propelled by the surge in retail trading, Robinhood’s stock has seen significant ups and downs. The company has dealt with regulatory scrutiny, changes in trading activity, and fluctuating user engagement, all contributing to its stock volatility. 

    meme-stock-robinhood-hood

    Robinhood stock price seeing ups and downs, as observed on the VT Markets app

    Forecast and outlook 

    Given the current trajectory, it is crucial to approach AMC’s stock with caution. The projected net loss and the significant decline in stock value over the past year suggest a challenging road ahead. Investors should closely monitor industry developments, including the resolution of the strikes and any potential recovery in the movie release schedule. 

    AMC presents both risks and opportunities. The recent decline in share price might attract bargain hunters looking for a quick rebound. However, the overall negative sentiment and the projected net loss may continue to weigh on the stock.

    Traders should closely watch for any updates on the strikes and movie release schedules, as positive news in these areas could trigger short-term gains. Conversely, further negative developments could push the stock lower. Using technical analysis to identify support and resistance levels will be crucial for short-term trading strategies. 

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