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    Soybeans Extend Rally on Strong Chinese Demand

    October 24, 2024

    Key Points:

    • Chicago Board of Trade soybeans rose 0.3% to $10.01-3/4 a bushel, hitting a one-week high.
    • Wheat and corn followed suit, with wheat up 0.2% and corn rising 0.1%.
    • U.S. soybean export premiums are at a 14-month high, as traders rush to move the record U.S. harvest ahead of the U.S. election.

    Soybeans surged to a one-week high on Thursday, bolstered by robust demand from China, the world’s top importer.

    Picture: Soybean futures climb to 9.97 as traders eye resistance at 9.978 for further momentum, as seen on the VT Markets app.

    Soybean-C futures closed at 9.971, showing a slight uptick of 0.24%. The session ranged between a low of 9.945 and a high of 9.978.

    The price action shows a strong upward movement from the low of 9.765, supported by the 5, 10, and 30-period moving averages, which indicate a short-term bullish trend.

    The MACD (12, 26, 9) shows a bullish crossover, with the histogram bars in the positive zone, suggesting continued upward momentum in the short term.

    With U.S. harvest pressure easing, the soybean market continues to move upward, although analysts believe gains may be capped by ample global supply in the near term.

    Grains See Further Gains

    Ole Houe from IKON Commodities expects soybean demand to remain strong, but notes the potential cap on price growth due to global supply.

    Wheat and corn prices also saw gains, with corn benefiting from improved weather conditions in Argentina, where heavy rains helped reverse crop losses after a tough drought period.

    Meanwhile, Russia’s proposed BRICS grain exchange adds potential pressure to wheat markets, as traders monitor new developments that could shift global trade dynamics.

    With tariffs on Chinese imports looming ahead of the U.S. election, further market shifts may depend on the outcome of the tight Harris-Trump race. This could impact U.S.-China trade relations and, in turn, the soybean market.

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