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    S&P 500 retraces as the markets eye Nvidia earnings for AI demand insights

    August 28, 2024

    Key points:

    • Investors are cautiously awaiting Nvidia’s earnings to gauge the sustainability of the tech rally and AI demand.
    • Nordstrom and Ambarella rise on strong earnings, while PVH and Paramount face setbacks due to weak outlooks.

    The S&P 500 index (Symbol: SP500) retraced slightly as investors turned their focus to the highly anticipated Nvidia earnings report. The tech giant, a key player in the AI space, is expected to provide insights into the demand for artificial intelligence and whether the ongoing tech rally can be sustained.

    We see this earnings report as vital; Nvidia earnings could influence market sentiment, especially within the tech sector where eyes are already plastered on AI news and developments.

    
The S&P 500 has experienced mixed performance as it navigates a period of heightened volatility, closing at 5630.83 with a marginal 0.02% decline. The chart on vtmarkets.com shows a consolidation pattern, with the price hovering around key moving averages, indicating the market's indecision as it awaits more concrete signals from upcoming economic data and corporate earnings reports. The MACD indicator remains neutral, with the MACD line and signal line closely aligned, suggesting a lack of clear momentum in either direction.

    Picture: S&P 500 retreated ahead of Nvidia’s earnings report, as observed on the VT Markets app.

    So far, the S&P 500 has seen mixed performance as it navigates through a period of heightened volatility, with the index closing at 5630.83, nearly flat with a slight 0.02% decline. The chart shows a consolidation pattern, with the price hovering around key moving averages, reflecting the market’s indecision as it awaits more concrete signals from upcoming economic data and corporate earnings reports.

    The MACD indicator remains neutral, with the MACD line and signal line closely aligned, suggesting a lack of clear momentum in either direction.

    Market movements from earnings report

    We see how earnings reports have affected others in the space. Nordstrom’s stock surged by 8% following its earnings beat, signaling strength in the retail sector despite broader economic concerns.

    Meanwhile, Ambarella, a semiconductor company, saw a 18.7% rally, buoyed by strong revenue guidance that underscores robust demand in its market segments.

    On the flip side, PVH Corp., a fashion industry giant, experienced a 7.7% drop due to a weak outlook for the current quarter, highlighting potential challenges ahead for the apparel sector.

    Back to the index, the broader market remains in a wait-and-see mode, with key resistance around 5654.7 and support near 5586.95. The next moves will likely be driven by further earnings announcements and economic data releases, which could provide the catalysts needed to break the current consolidation.

    Performance by other indices

    At the same time, the Dow (Symbol: DJ30) inched up by 0.02%, while the Nasdaq Composite (Symbol: NQ100) gained 0.16%. Six out of the 11 S&P sectors finished higher, led by technology, financials, and real estate. This sectoral strength underscores the market’s focus on tech and financials as key drivers of recent gains.

    In corporate news, Apple made headlines by announcing a change in its CFO position, which could signal strategic shifts within the company. Paramount’s shares fell by 7.2% amid reports that its acquisition by Skydance Media may be faltering, raising concerns about the future direction of the media giant.

    Meanwhile, Eli Lilly’s announcement that its weight-loss drug, Zepbound, will be available at a lower price than other weight-loss medications, sent positive signals to the healthcare sector.

    Opportunity to profit for stock traders

    For short-term traders, the focus will largely revolve around the Nvidia earnings report. A strong report could trigger a rally in tech stocks, particularly those involved in AI and semiconductors.

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    However, any signs of weakness in Nvidia’s earnings or guidance could lead to a sell-off, not just in tech but across broader markets. As the market navigates these earnings, volatility is expected, providing potential opportunities for those looking to capitalise on short-term price movements.

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