Week Ahead: Markets to Focus on US CPI, US PPI, and ECB Rate Decision

September 11, 2023

Of particular interest to traders this week will be the US Consumer Price Index (CPI), the US Producer Price Index (PPI), and the European Central Bank’s (ECB) Rate Decision. These items have the potential to significantly impact the markets. Exercise caution and stay up to date with the latest developments to ensure a successful week of trading. 

Here are some notable market highlights for the upcoming week:

UK Claimant Count Change (12 September 2023)

The number of people claiming unemployment benefits in the UK increased by 29,000 in July 2023.

The data for August 2023 will be released on 12 September, with analysts expecting a further increase of 17,000.

UK Gross Domestic Product (13 September 2023) 

The British economy expanded by 0.5% in June 2023, rebounding from a 0.1% decline in May. 

Analysts anticipate a 0.3% decrease in the data for July 2023, scheduled for release on 13 September.

US Consumer Price Index (13 September 2023)

The monthly inflation rate in the US held steady at 0.2% in July 2023. 

Analysts expect an increase of 0.5% in the upcoming CPI figures, set to be released on 13 September.

Australia Employment Change (14 September 2023) 

Employment in Australia decreased by 14,600 in July 2023. 

Figures for August 2023 will be released on 14 September, with analysts anticipating an increase of 40,000.

European Central Bank Rate Decision (14 September 2023)  

The ECB raised its key interest rates by 25 bps to 4.25% during its July meeting.

For the upcoming meeting on 14 September, analysts expect the central bank to keep the interest rates at 4.25%.

US Producer Price Index (14 September 2023) 

Producer prices in the US rose 0.3% in July 2023, the biggest increase since January 2023.

Analysts expect a 0.4% increase in the figures for August 2023, set to be released on 14 September.

US Retail Sales (14 September 2023)

US retail sales were up 0.7% in July 2023. This follows a 0.3% increase in June 2023 and marks a fourth consecutive rise.

Analysts expect a further increase of 0.2% in the figures for August 2023, set to be released on 14 September. 

University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment (15 September 2023)

The University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index for the US was revised from preliminary estimates of 71.2 to 69.5 in August 2023.

Analysts expect the index to remain at 69.5 in the upcoming figures, set to be released on 15 September.