Analysts at Morgan Stanley revised Tesla’s price target to $410, predicting lower 2025 vehicle deliveries

    by VT Markets
    /
    Mar 21, 2025

    Morgan Stanley’s revision to its Tesla price target reflects a lowered expectation for vehicle deliveries in 2025, with estimates now adjusted to 1.61 million from a previous 1.92 million.

    Tesla Price Target Adjustment

    The downward shift implies a reassessment of demand or production capacity but does not alter the firm’s broader view on the company’s long-term prospects. Despite reducing the target by £20, the Overweight rating remains unchanged, indicating that the stock is still expected to outperform relative to others in the market.

    The continued emphasis on artificial intelligence and humanoid robotics suggests that Tesla’s future growth is seen as extending beyond traditional automotive operations. Morgan Stanley appears to view these areas as fundamental to Tesla’s strategy, reinforcing confidence in the company’s ability to drive technological advancements that could reshape its business.

    In the coming weeks, short-term traders should note how the market absorbs this adjustment. Investors reacting to the forecasted decline in deliveries could bring temporary shifts in sentiment, but with Morgan Stanley maintaining its constructive stance, any price movements may provide new opportunities. The focus remains on whether other analysts follow a similar path with their expectations and whether further delivery revisions emerge.

    More broadly, attention will now turn to any developments that could reinforce or counteract Morgan Stanley’s thesis.

    Long Term Market Considerations

    Statements from Tesla’s leadership, particularly around artificial intelligence and robotics, may carry greater weight given the firm’s emphasis on these areas. Meanwhile, delivery figures for the upcoming quarters will likely be watched for any deviations from new projections, as the impact of the revised outlook is gauged in real-time.

    Short-term signals should be considered, but maintaining awareness of longer-horizon trends remains essential. If Tesla releases any updates regarding vehicle production, technological advancements, or financial outlooks, those could accelerate or temper market reactions. Keeping an eye on other institutions’ adjustments to their own targets may offer a clearer sense of how broad this recalibration is.

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