Chinese authorities quietly restrict stock sales to stabilise markets amid escalating US trade tensions

    by VT Markets
    /
    Apr 14, 2025

    Chinese stock exchanges have introduced daily limits on net share sales by hedge funds and large retail investors to stabilise the markets amid escalating trade tensions with the U.S. The limit is set at 50 million yuan (approximately $6.8 million) per investor per day and enforced through verbal warnings from brokerages.

    Investors exceeding this threshold risk account suspension, and the exchanges have a formal directive supporting the measure. China aims to protect its markets from volatility linked to U.S. tariffs, which now reach up to 125% on certain products.

    State Interventions And Strategic Monitoring

    State interventions, such as stock purchases by the Central Huijin fund and corporate buybacks, have contributed to relative market stability. Brokerages are required to closely monitor transactions from significant private and retail investors. A notice indicated that the sale limit could decrease further if selling pressure worsens.

    What’s unfolding here is a deliberate move by regulators to prevent abrupt downward moves in the market, particularly from high-volume traders. These restrictions are not just random limits—they’re calculated to reduce excess selling that can snowball during nervous trading sessions. By capping daily disposals to 50 million yuan across major accounts, authorities are trying to dampen panic behaviour and stifle short-term turbulence at its source.

    The warning mechanism is soft in tone—verbal notices from brokers—but firm in nature. If those warnings go unheeded, the exchanges have the teeth to suspend trading access outright. It’s not a hollow threat. They’ve backed this up with official directives, making clear that participation in the market comes with constraints designed to support systemic resilience.

    We see this not as interference so much as fire prevention. The backdrop here matters. The trade measures from the U.S. bring with them considerable pricing uncertainty, especially across key export sectors, and that added unpredictability feeds into valuation shifts. Pricing in those risks leads to hasty position trimming, exacerbated by algorithmic models and tight liquidity pockets. These new measures are a response to that feedback loop.

    Liquidity And Trading Adjustments

    State-directed buying—through funds like Central Huijin—and internal buybacks by listed firms have noticeably slowed the pace of equity declines in recent weeks. This support action has underpinned pricing floors, particularly in sectors sensitive to export tariffs. Yet if net outflows pick up pace again, there’s room for further tightening. The exchanges have not ruled out reducing the allowed daily sale figure even more if selling accelerates. That’s a clear signal to larger players to keep a conservative profile in the short window ahead.

    For us on the derivative side, this introduces some friction. Intraday liquidity could be pinched, especially as some systematic players might curtail exposure to stay within thresholds. This introduces trading windows with tighter execution ranges. Opportunities may still present themselves, but we’ve found that patience and selective entry points matter more—particularly when volatility is manually tempered.

    Market depth may seem intact on the surface, but real transaction flow could be thinner than indicated by the order book. That’s something to factor into hedging and rollover strategies. We’ve adjusted accordingly, shifting toward lower leverage and building in more room for slippage on larger contracts. Not ideal, but prudent under the current structural shape.

    Keep in mind: if behavioural signals suggest a broader pullback is forming, it won’t just be enforced from above—it’ll be reinforced organically through liquidity drop-offs. Fast hands will likely find fewer exits. So restraint isn’t just regulatory—it may be the better course for positioning until turnover normalises again.

    With these triggers in place and warning systems actively used, monitoring message frequency from brokers has become more material than before. An uptick in communication might pre-empt a formal clampdown. We’ve started tracking this as part of the daily setup. Adjustments will probably need to stay nimble through the week as volume constraints shift price formation patterns.

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