In February, Canada’s Consumer Price Index exceeded forecasts, recording a 1.1% month-on-month increase

    by VT Markets
    /
    Mar 18, 2025

    In February, Canada’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) rose by 1.1%, surpassing expectations of 0.6%. This increase reflects ongoing economic conditions.

    Gold prices have recently surged, peaking around $3,040 per troy ounce, due to a shift in geopolitical tensions related to the Russia-Ukraine situation.

    Us Dollar Movement

    The US Dollar showed a daily correction, pushing the EUR/USD pair towards recent highs near 1.0950, following positive developments in international relations.

    GBP/USD has also recovered, retesting the 1.3000 level as geopolitical concerns eased.

    Traders are optimistic about a potential ceasefire in Ukraine, which could improve Europe’s economic growth outlook.

    The inflation spike in Canada indicates mounting price pressures, far higher than what analysts had projected. When inflation grows at this pace, it affects expectations about interest rate moves. If inflation remains strong, financial authorities might push borrowing costs higher than markets previously anticipated. This could shape strategies in the bond and currency markets as traders reassess where policy might be heading.

    The surge in gold prices suggests that investors have been searching for safety, likely in response to uncertainty linked to the situation in Eastern Europe. A rise to $3,040 per troy ounce is far from usual, reflecting just how much anxiety has been influencing decisions. However, with tensions softening, some of that fear-driven momentum may start to reverse. If optimism continues to take hold, traders may need to reconsider whether the recent peak will sustain or if profit-taking will push prices lower.

    The US dollar had been weakening temporarily, allowing the euro to edge closer to 1.0950. This came after what appeared to be a breakthrough in diplomatic discussions. Any further developments in this area could dictate where major currency pairs move next. If negotiations move in the right direction, the demand for safer assets such as the greenback may ease further, making way for currencies like the euro to maintain their upward push.

    Sterling has also benefited from a shift in mood, managing to reclaim the 1.3000 level. The easing of geopolitical stress is the clear reason behind this movement, and the rebound suggests that investors are reassessing previous concerns about financial risks in the region. Should confidence continue to stabilise, we might see sterling attempting fresh highs as traders adjust their bets.

    Market Sentiment And Outlook

    Optimism surrounding the discussions in Eastern Europe has encouraged traders to take on more risk. A potential resolution could bring stronger growth prospects across Europe, which would change expectations for central bank moves in the coming months. However, if there are any setbacks, sentiment could shift just as quickly, impacting both currency and commodity markets. Traders will need to maintain flexibility, responding to updates in real time while keeping an eye on any changes in global economic policy.

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