The dollar shows modest gains as risk sentiment deteriorates, impacting various currency pairs negatively

    by VT Markets
    /
    Mar 21, 2025

    The dollar is making slight gains as risk sentiment fluctuates, with S&P 500 futures down 0.2%. The EUR/USD pair has decreased by 0.3% to 1.0820, with sellers currently in control.

    Support is observed around 1.0820, with major option expiries at the 1.0800 level. A breach of this figure could initiate a modest retracement of earlier gains.

    Currency Movements Overview

    USD/JPY has risen by 0.5% to 149.55, while GBP/USD has dipped 0.3% to 1.2927. Additionally, AUD/USD is down 0.2% to 0.6285, marking four consecutive days of decline.

    The upcoming session in Europe is expected to lack significant market catalysts, leaving trading sentiment largely influenced by the prevailing risk mood.

    This means that the dollar is regaining some ground as overall market mood shifts. At the same time, S&P 500 futures are facing a slight pullback, suggesting that broad sentiment remains fragile. With the euro losing value against the dollar, sellers have taken control of the pair as it moves towards key levels.

    The 1.0820 mark appears to be offering some support, but the presence of large option expiries at 1.0800 raises the possibility of increased price activity around that threshold. If that level gives way, it could lead to a temporary reversal of recent upward movement, prompting more traders to reassess their positions.

    Meanwhile, the yen has weakened against the dollar, pushing USD/JPY higher, a move that stands out given recent trends. Sterling’s decline mirrors the euro’s movement as traders move cautiously. The Australian dollar continues to lose ground, marking its fourth straight day of depreciation, which suggests sustained pressure on the currency.

    Market Sentiment And Future Outlook

    Looking ahead, the European session is unlikely to introduce major factors that would independently drive market direction. Instead, broader sentiment will remain the key driver of price action. Given the shifting dynamics in major currency pairs, attention should remain on how market participants react to changing risk conditions.

    With no major scheduled events in Europe that could trigger sudden moves, traders will likely continue responding to shifts in stock market performance and overall market confidence. If volatility picks up in related asset classes, currencies may follow suit.

    These recent moves highlight the importance of understanding how sentiment-driven trading affects price action. When shifts in confidence dictate market momentum, technical levels become increasingly important in anticipating potential turning points. The coming sessions will require sharp attention to areas where price may stall or accelerate.

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