The yen rose during Japan’s market holiday, benefiting from thinner liquidity and FOMC influences

    by VT Markets
    /
    Mar 20, 2025

    The yen has appreciated on today’s Japanese market holiday, adding to its gains following the Federal Open Market Committee’s meeting. The holiday has resulted in reduced liquidity and limited Japanese news and data.

    EUR/JPY has decreased by 200 points from its peak during the Asian trading session yesterday. Analysts may look for potential reversal points in the current range based on technical indicators.

    Market Impact Of Yen Appreciation

    Today’s yen movement builds on momentum from the Federal Reserve’s latest decision, with lower liquidity from Japan’s market holiday exaggerating price action. With fewer domestic reports to influence sentiment, traders are largely reacting to broader market developments.

    The euro’s decline against the yen—now 200 points off its previous peak—has brought attention to areas where a reversal might emerge. If technical indicators align with current price behaviour, short-term positions could shift to reflect changing risk appetite. The absence of Japan-specific news means traders are focusing on external drivers, particularly U.S. policy expectations and shifts in global sentiment.

    It is clear that liquidity constraints have played a role, meaning price movements might not fully reflect underlying fundamentals. Short-term deviations from trend are more common in such conditions. However, reaction to external factors remains measured, suggesting that any adjustments in positioning should be cautiously considered.

    Trading Strategy Considerations

    Those tracking yen pairs must account for spillover effects from both the Fed’s stance and any shifts in European trading. The pace of movement in EUR/JPY has likely drawn interest, as traders assess whether the recent drop presents an opportunity or signals a broader move. While technical levels often act as key reference points, the wider picture matters just as much—especially with uncertainty surrounding future central bank actions.

    The coming days may see a return of more typical liquidity conditions, at which point price behaviour could provide stronger confirmations. Until then, volatility driven by external factors may create conditions that are either favourable or misleading, depending on how one interprets the available signals.

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