Key Points:
The Indian rupee (Symbol: USDINR) is poised to remain near its weakest level of 84 against the U.S. dollar as markets await crucial U.S. jobs data, which could shape the Federal Reserve’s interest rate decision at its upcoming September meeting.
Picture: USDINR hovering near its record low, as observed on the VT Markets app.
After touching a low of 83.9850 on Thursday, the rupee managed to avoid crossing the psychological 84-mark, thanks to intervention from the Reserve Bank of India (RBI).
Related article: Understanding support and resistance in trading
While the U.S. dollar struggles against its major peers and most Asian currencies, the moves of the rupee are expected to remain subdued. Investors are focusing on the U.S. jobs data, which could influence market sentiment around the Federal Reserve’s next steps. A weak U.S. labour market report could push the Fed toward a more aggressive 50-basis-point rate cut, while a stronger jobs report may lead to a more conservative 25-bps reduction.
See also Interest rate tug-of-war for central banks: Hawkish vs dovish
U.S. economic data, especially the labour market report, could trigger some position adjustments across the broader forex market, but not necessarily for the rupee, as traders do not anticipate any dramatic shifts.
What you should look out for
A significant break below the 84-mark could create opportunities for intraday volatility. However, interventions from the RBI are likely to keep any sharp declines in check, making the Indian currency a low-volatility play compared to other major currencies. The markets are keeping an eye on the U.S. jobs data, as the Fed’s next rate move will influence market sentiment and possibly create some movement in the USDINR currency pair.
Education
Company
FAQ
Promotion
Risk Warning: Trading CFDs carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage in CFD trading can magnify gains and losses, potentially exceeding your original capital. It’s crucial to fully understand and acknowledge the associated risks before trading CFDs. Consider your financial situation, investment goals, and risk tolerance before making trading decisions. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Refer to our legal documents for a comprehensive understanding of CFD trading risks.
The information on this website is general and doesn’t account for your individual goals, financial situation, or needs. VT Markets cannot be held liable for the relevance, accuracy, timeliness, or completeness of any website information.
Our services and information on this website are not provided to residents of certain countries, including the United States, Singapore, Russia, and jurisdictions listed on the FATF and global sanctions lists. They are not intended for distribution or use in any location where such distribution or use would contravene local law or regulation.
VT Markets is a brand name with multiple entities authorised and registered in various jurisdictions.
· VT Global Pty Ltd is authorised and regulated by the Australian Securities & Investments Commission (ASIC) under licence number 516246.
· VT Global is not an issuer or market maker of derivatives and is only allowed to provide services to wholesale clients.
· VT Markets (Pty) Ltd is an authorised Financial Service Provider (FSP) registered and regulated by the Financial Sector Conduct Authority (FSCA) of South Africa under license number 50865.
· VT Markets Limited is an investment dealer authorised and regulated by the Mauritius Financial Services Commission (FSC) under license number GB23202269.
· VTMarkets Ltd, registered in the Republic of Cyprus with registration number HE436466 and registered address at Archbishop Makarios III, 160, Floor 1, 3026, Limassol, Cyprus.
Copyright © 2024 VT Markets.