The NZD/USD pair approached 0.5700, indicating increasing short-term bullish sentiment and upward momentum

    by VT Markets
    /
    Apr 11, 2025

    200 Day Sma Resistance

    The 200-day SMA at 0.58946 may serve as long-term resistance. The Stochastic RSI Fast at 41.67 and the Awesome Oscillator at -0.00854 indicate neutral conditions.

    The pair pushed modestly higher on Thursday, brushing up against the 0.5700 mark after a measured climb through the session. While not explosive, the rise was fairly consistent, reflecting a gradual build-up in buying interest. It’s noteworthy that despite the upward momentum, the trading range — 0.56282 to 0.57656 — continues to hold, implying some hesitation to break firmly beyond recent highs.

    At the moment, the Relative Strength Index sits at 53.82. That places it right in no-man’s-land — not overbought, not oversold — hinting that the market is pausing rather than charging ahead. When we look at the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD), we see something slightly different. There’s a suggestion of downward bias there, which may appear contradictory at first glance. But this kind of mismatch can often show up during market transitions, especially when price is climbing but longer indicators lag behind.

    Watching Market Behavior

    Shorter-term support is creeping higher, with both the 10-day Exponential Moving Average and the Simple Moving Average beginning to slope positively. These shorter moving averages can often set the tone when traders look at where momentum might be building. The alignment of these measures could pull attention towards the upper end of the current range — though there’s still some road to travel before re-testing earlier yearly highs.

    One resistance area that still carries weight sits up around the 200-day SMA at 0.58946. That level hasn’t really been touched in some time, and remains an obstacle that the market hasn’t had the appetite to reach for recently. It will take continued alignment from short-term indicators to even get within striking distance of that.

    The Stochastic RSI Fast is hovering around 41.67, while the Awesome Oscillator printed a mild negative value. We typically treat such levels as neither cautionary nor exciting — a kind of waiting room for momentum. These figures don’t push us to anticipate outsized moves straight away, though we’re hardly in a position to say things are settled either.

    Given how certain tools point upward and others still lean flat or slightly bearish, this is often a place where short-dated option premiums can shrink, and spreads can tighten. If the range remains intact, directional trades begin to lose their edge — this makes tactical patience just as useful as any other position right now. We often scale back when the signals don’t travel in the same direction, choosing instead to let time play its hand rather than jumping on early swings.

    That doesn’t mean eyes come off the ball. Instead, it pushes us to keep closer watch on how price behaves near the upper and lower borders of this current band. Any confluence of rising volume and price action nudging convincingly beyond resistance should change the tempo rather quickly. Until then, it’s about staying nimble and waiting for the signals to fall into cleaner line.

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